How to Use Interest Rates in Trading

How Do Interest Rates Work?

The amount a lender charges a borrower called an interest rate. This expressed as a percentage of the principal, or the loaned amount. Typically, a loan’s interest rate expressed as an annual percentage rate, or APR (APR).

A savings account or certificate of deposit earnings at a bank or credit union. It may also be subject to an interest rate (CD). The interest received on these deposit accounts measured in annual percentage yields (APY).

Interest Rate Example

If you obtain a $300,000 mortgage from the bank and the loan agreement. Specifies a 4 percent interest rate, you will required to pay the bank the original loan amount of $300,000 + (4 percent x $300,000) = $300,000 + $12,000 = $312,000 as well as the $12,000 origination fee.

Rate of Simple Interest

The formula for calculating annual simple interest, which was used to calculate the example above, is:

Principal times Interest Rate Times Time = Simple Interest

Assuming the mortgage was just for a year. The borrower will be required to pay $12,000 in interest at the end of the year. The interest payment would be as follows if the loan duration was 30 years:

Simple interest is calculated as $300,000 x 4% x 30 = $360,000.

A 4 percent yearly interest rate equals a $20,000 annual interest payment. The borrower would have paid $360,000 in interest after 30 years, or $12,000 x 30 years, which illustrates how banks profit.

How interest rate works?


First, as the unemployment rate falls and overall employment improves. Traders anticipate that it will lead to high inflation, which will lead to high interest rates. High interest rates can cause the currency to strengthen and bond yields to rise. Higher bond rates, on the other hand, cause stock prices to fall as investors shift from equities to bonds. In this instance, you can purchase the country’s currency while selling the equities and indexes.


Second, rising inflation creates chances for carrying trade. A carry trade is a strategy that entails borrowing money at low interest rates and then investing the cash in a higher-yielding asset. In forex, it operates by purchasing a currency with low or negative interest rates and then utilising the proceeds to purchase a higher-yielding currency. The idea is to profit from the interest rate spread while also seeing the value of the currency they purchased grow. The USD/JPY is a fantastic example of a suitable pair for carrying trades. This is due to the fact that the US federal funds rate was 2.25 percent in September 2018, while the BOJ rate was minus 0.1 percent.


Third, if the central bank has not issued forward advice on interest rates, the CPI and PPI statistics might assist you in forecasting future rate rises. If the CPI continues to rise, it is a sign that the central bank will most likely hike interest rates. Alternatively, if the CPI figures fall, the prognosis is for lower interest rates. With this knowledge, you may buy local currency if you feel its value will grow or sell it if you believe its value will fall.

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